Definition of Hindsight bias:
Investors feel pressure to time their purchases of stocks perfectly in order to maximize their returns. When they suffer a loss, they regret not acting earlier. With regret comes the thought that they saw it coming all along. In fact, it was one of the many possibilities that they might have anticipated. Whichever one of them pans out, the investor becomes convinced that he or she saw it coming.
The belief that the event could have been predicted after it has already occurred. For example, when a certain stock under-performs, investors may believe this act should have been predicted when in fact there was no way to know in advance what would happen.
Hindsight bias is a psychological phenomenon that allows people to convince themselves after an event that they had accurately predicted it before it happened. This can lead people to conclude that they can accurately predict other events. Hindsight bias is studied in behavioral economics because it is a common failing of individual investors.
How to use Hindsight bias in a sentence?
- In investing, hindsight bias may manifest as a sense of frustration or regret at not having acted in advance of an event that moves the market.
- Hindsight bias is a psychological phenomenon in which one becomes convinced that one accurately predicted an event before it occurred.
- It causes overconfidence in one's ability to predict other future events.
Meaning of Hindsight bias & Hindsight bias Definition